Albanese courts China as allies watch warily

Albanese courts China as allies watch warily

Independent Australia
14 Jul 2025, 11:30 GMT+

As Anthony Albanese woos Beijing with economic diplomacy, critics warn Australia is risking its security alliances and strategic clarity in the process, writesVince Hooper.

PRIME MINISTER Anthony Albaneses currentpilgrimage to Beijinghas reignited an old Australian debate: Should we trade away our strategic clarity for economic stability?

The visit is pitched as a triumph of diplomacy and economic pragmatism. Albanese may return with glowing headlines about thawing relations, the lifting of punitive Chinese trade bans and promises of a more mature bilateral relationship. Business groups, naturally, will cheer. After all, China still buys a third of Australias exports iron ore, LNG, and agricultural products underpinning jobs, super funds and government budgets.

But the strategic cost of this transactional diplomacy risks outweighing its short-term benefits. For all the smiling photo ops with Chinese PresidentXi Jinping, Albanese studiously will avoid any real criticism of Chinas aggression towards Australia. Beijing continues to harass Australian naval vessels in international waters, circumnavigate our continent with spy ships, militarise the South China Sea, threaten Taiwan and enable Russias war effort in Ukraine. Yet the Prime Ministers team is likely to choose conciliation over candour.

Contrast this with Japan, South Korea and even New Zealand in measured tone, all of whom manage robust trade with China while remaining forthright about Beijings coercive behaviour. Albaneses reluctance to speak truth to power raises questions about his strategic realism, or lack thereof.

Seeking cooperation with China does not make one a useful idiot

Engaging with China on matters of global security isnt nave its what real leadership should look like.

Worse still was his conspicuous absence from the recentNATO Summit, just days before his Beijing trip. For decades, the U.S. alliance has underwritten Australian security and regional stability. Today, while Canberra still talks upAUKUS, which is currently under review by the U.S., critics fear Albaneses China tilt risks undermining the trust and resolve underpinning that agreement.

AUKUS is not merely a submarine contract; it is a statement of civilisational alignment with the democratic world against authoritarian revisionism.

The core flaw in Albaneses approach is the false equivalence between economic and security imperatives. His collaborate where we can, disagree where we must type formula sounds statesmanlike, but under Xi Jinpings leadership, China has fused its commercial, military and ideological ambitions. Trade is no longer just trade; it is a tool of political leverage.

Appeasement does not buy peace, only time. History is littered with leaders who mistook economic interdependence for strategic moderation think of Europes Russia policy before 2022. Chinas record on human rights, its creeping authoritarianism and its global ambitions remain fundamentally incompatible with the liberal democratic order Australia inhabits. To imagine otherwise is nave at best and dangerous at worst.

Defenders of the Prime Minister insist his visit will stabilise a tense relationship and secure market access for exporters. True, in the short term. But at what price? Every reassurance given to Beijing without a reciprocal check on its aggression erodes deterrence, emboldens coercion and narrows Australias future choices.

This visit is billed as pragmatic realism. The reality is that strategic clarity, not diplomatic ambiguity, has kept Australia safe in an increasingly uncertain Indo-Pacific. Albanese would do well to remember that while iron ore dollars pay the bills, only strong alliances and deterrence ensure those bills can continue to be paid in freedom.

A precarious balancing act, indeed, for the PM in Beijing. Trump will be watching closely.

Vince Hooperis a proud Australian/British citizen and professor of finance and discipline head at SP Jain School of Global Management with campuses in London, Dubai, Mumbai, Singapore and Sydney.

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